The List is Life, Part IV

In the first three parts of this series, I worked my way through the thick weeds of the roster, pruning and purging. On the far side, I arrived with the roster sorted into the following categories…

  • PROTECT: De Rosario, Jakovic, Kitchen, Pontius
  • EXPOSE: Barklage, Burch, Cronin, Davies, Korb, McTavish, Morsink, Ngwenya, Woolard, Zayner
  • BUBBLE: Boskovic, Brettschneider, da Luz, King, McDonald, Quaranta, Simms, Willis, Wolff
  • N/A: Hamid, Najar, Shanosky, White

Four of the twenty-seven players on the roster don’t need to be sheltered from the rapacious grasp of L’Impact de Montreal by virtue of their being home grown talents. I identified four others that seemed like obvious candidates for protection (De Rosario, Jakovic, Kitchen, Pontius).

Now, in the final set piece, we pop the bubble and find out which seven of those nine make it onto the final list for protection1.

Almost immediately, I’m going to push Boskovic to the protected list based on the assumption that he wants to come back and that the FO is willing (as Goff’s interview with KP suggests) to bring him back. Simply put: a healthy and committed Boskovic brings tools and talents to the table that simply don’t exist elsewhere on the roster, tools and talents that were sorely lacking over the course of this season. Maybe Montreal isn’t interested in taking a risk on him, but I’m not willing to chance that.

I’m also going to add McDonald and Quaranta, solid and reasonably-compensated MLS vets in their prime who can cover multiple spots on the field and always put forth maximum effort even if they’re fundamentally limited as players. You need those type of guys to form the bedrock of a roster, particularly in MLS, where the salary cap and limited senior squad size play such a large role.

So that fills seven spots, leaving six players competing for four spots. Before we move on to the final reckoning, I’m going to make one last set of assumptions. Assumption #1 being that Benny is going to persist with a 4-4-2 of some variety that features Boskovic and Kitchen in central midfield with De Rosario up top2, and assumption #2 being that Simms and Wolff don’t negotiate their salaries down.

So where then does that leave us? We’ve got four players on modest salaries: Brettschneider (a rookie forward with a different toolset than our other forwards, but whose forte, hustle and athleticism, aren’t rare commodities in the American game), da Luz (a wide man in potentially the Brad Davis mold who contrasts well with Najar and Pontius, our dribble-first wingers), King (a limited, but generally reliable central midfield option), and Willis (rookie netminder who shined in limited appearances). And we’ve got a pair (Simms and Wolff) who each pulled down what those previous four made combined.

Obviously, Simms and Wolff both sucked up big minutes this year, though both performed at a level relative to their salaries that left me nonplussed. Granted, Wolff posted better numbers that I thought he had and can’t be faulted for effort, but my lasting impression is the subjective one that he always seemed to pop up in connection with killing attacking moves through poor control, underhit passes, or a failure of vision.

Could he still be a useful player? Probably. But I think a healthy Boskovic and a full season of De Rosario means he finds his opportunities more limited, and his cap figure is starter-money, not pinch-hit specialist3. Likewise, I think Kitchen installed in the d-mid role makes Simms too highly paid for a backup. Now, if they are willing to negotiate their salaries down (and I’d be more interested in Wolff than in Simms doing this), I think you protect both and expose Brettschneider and King, two players who would seem to be eminently replaceable via the draft, cuts from other teams, or trades, keeping Wolff and Simms available as cover or trade-bait.

With all that said, however, I’d lean more towards protecting the cheaper, younger players as part of the core of this team that is going to be growing together. Willis and da Luz would make the list nine, and I’d add Brettschneider simply because of that knack for goal he displayed in pre-season, the fact that we currently don’t have anyone in his mold at the club, and because I’ve already exposed most of the forward corps. That makes ten.

So who gets that final spot? Given the previous arguments I’ve laid down, I think you’d assume King, but I’m going to go with Wolff, perhaps surprisingly in the context of my previous criticisms. So why? Well partially it’s those goals and assists, partially it’s the veteran presence in the locker room. He’ll also be decent cover for De Rosario’s World Cup qualifier absences.

But then I’ve gone and left both Simms and King exposed, haven’t I? Ah, but Montreal can only filch one from us, can’t they? Even if we lose one, we still have the other as cover and Shanosky has to be ready for minutes next year, doesn’t he? As I’ve said, I think Simms is past it physically, not nasty enough for his position, and carries too high of a cap hit. And King? Simply not good enough to protect. If they don’t take him, you’ve got cheap depth. If they do, he’s replaceable.

So in the final reckoning, we have the following list of protected players and players who are automatically protected by virtue of being home-grown (denoted by hg):

Boskovic, Brettschneider, da Luz, De Rosario, Hamid (hg), Jakovic, Kitchen, McDonald, Najar (hg), Pontius, Quaranta, Shanosky (hg), White (hg), Willis, Wolff

Thoughts?


  1. In, of course, the demented universe where my input actually counts for something. ↩

  2. Whether that be two flat banks of four behind a traditional little-large forward pairing, a diamond midfield, or something a bit more progressive that looks like a 4-2-3-1 with De Rosario free to operate as a third central mid or as a second forward depending upon the game scenario I leave unexplored (though I obviously hope for that last option). ↩

  3. Besides, his current skill set isn’t one that makes him ideal for a super-sub role. ↩

The List is Life, Part III

In Parts I and II we looked at the first two-thirds of United’s roster in an attempt to compile preliminary lists of players to PROTECT, players to EXPOSE, players on the BUBBLE, and players who didn’t have to be protected (N/A) for the expansion draft at the end of November that will stock L’Impact’s stables for 2012. Let’s carry on with the final third of the roster…

PONTIUS, Chris (M/F, 24) - Had an excellent 2011 (7 goals, 5 assists), often serving as United’s most dangerous attacker prior to De Rosario’s arrival. If he doesn’t go down for the season against Chivas, I think this post series probably wouldn’t be taking place until a week or two from now. No quibbles here. PROTECT

QUARANTA, Santino (M/F, 27) - Lack of production and failure to fulfill the entirety of his promise aside, Quaranta is solid MLS depth at a number of positions and never fails to give a commited effort when called upon. He’s not an automatic inclusion on the protected list, but he’s on the inner surface of the BUBBLE.

SHANOSKY, Conor (D/M, 19) - Haven’t seen enough of him to know whether he’s worth protecting in the long term, but thankfully, his home grown status means I don’t have to make that call. N/A

SIMMS, Clyde (M, 29) - I’ve never been hugely convinced by his game, but he’s clearly past his best now and about to be eclipsed by Kitchen. Might he be useful as depth going forward? Sure, but not at his current salary. Though my first inclination is to expose him, I’m going to keep him on the BUBBLE for now.

WHITE, Ethan (D, 20) - Picked up way more minutes than I think anyone had a right to expect in his rookie campaign. He wasn’t terrific, but the experience should stand him in good stead going forward. He’d probably be on the inner edge of the bubble if we had to protect the home grown players (might be much tougher to get the list down to eleven), but as it stands…N/A.

WILLIS, Joe (GK, 23) - Better than expected when tossed unexpectely into the breach and grabbed firm hold of the backup spot from Cronin. Still, I find it hard to justify protecting a reserve keeper. BUBBLE

WOLFF, Josh (F, 34) - Can’t fault him for effort, but an inconsistent first touch, spotty finishing, and misplaced passes that often broke down counterattacks factored in with his age don’t leave me convinced he’s as key as the number of appearances he made would suggest. I’m somewhat surprised to see that he registered 5 goals and 7 assists without being a lock to start, and that has me moving him onto the BUBBLE.

WOOLARD, Daniel (D, 27) - Doesn’t really seem like he has either the athletic gifts or the technical ability to hold down a roster spot in this league, but he wasn’t consistently exposed as being completely out of his depth and racked up an impressive haul of minutes this year. Provides adequate depth and experience on the back line but little else. Faint praise, and not enough to protect him. EXPOSE

ZAYNER, Jed (D, 26) - Showed a lot of promise at the tail end of 2010, but sidelined this year by a potentially career-ending injury. If he can recover, he’ll certainly be worth having back, but I doubt Montreal would risk taking him. Neither should United risk protecting him. EXPOSE

And that gets us through the entire roster. Compiling the initial assessments, we’re left with…

  • PROTECT: De Rosario, Jakovic, Kitchen, Pontius
  • EXPOSE: Barklage, Burch, Cronin, Davies, Korb, McTavish, Morsink, Ngwenya, Woolard, Zayner
  • BUBBLE: Boskovic, Brettschneider, Da Luz, King, McDonald, Quaranta, Simms, Willis, Wolff
  • N/A: Hamid, Najar, Shanosky, White

So we have four spots filled out of eleven. That means we only need to kick two of the nine off the bubble to complete the protected list. In the fourth and final part of this series, that’s exactly what we’ll do.

The List is Life, Part II

In Part I of this series, I made my way though the first third of United’s roster, tagging and releasing, identifying those to PROTECT, those to EXPOSE, those on the BUBBLE, and those N/As the FO didn’t have to make a call on. Moving on to the second third of the roster…

JAKOVIC, Dejan (D, 26) - Go ahead, dive into the archives. I made no secret of my admiration for Jakovic when he first arrived. Good feet, imperious advances with the ball from the back line, pickpocket tackles in critical spots. Damn those frequent brain-farts, but what’s not to love? Still, three seasons on he hasn’t really improved much and is often injured. Sure, the defense is more solid when he’s in it, but he’s not an automatic lock for protection like he was. That said, he’s Canadian, and Montreal would likely bite our arm off if he’s left exposed, and the rules require protecting one of our two internationals. PROTECT

KING, Stephen (M, 25) - Adequate as cover and does a fair job as a two-way midfielder (sans the ability to finish chances, though he does get in spots to try), but doesn’t bring enough to the table to make him so valuable that he must be protected. BUBBLE

KITCHEN, Perry (D/M, 19) - Versatile, young, talented, leader. Late showings in midfield were tantalizing. PROTECT without question.

KORB, Chris (D, 24) - Suspect positioning and aerial ability. Marginal going forward. Depth at best and little risk of losing him if unprotected. EXPOSE

MCDONALD, Brandon (D/M, 25) - Solid pro, but not sold on him as a center back as he makes too many dumb decisions and is often caught out of position. As a d-mid? Maybe useful, but I think Kitchen is the future there, so unless Benny has plans to introduce the bucket, I stick McDonald on the BUBBLE for now.

MCTAVISH, Devon (D/M, 27) - Yeah, yeah, he’s a good guy and can kinda fill a number of holes when he isn’t injured. Enough already. Somebody has to be ruthless with the dead wood. EXPOSE

MORSINK, Kurt (M, 27) - He’s still on this team? Why? EXPOSE

NAJAR, Andy (M, 18) - If he wasn’t home grown he’d be a no-brainer to protect. As it stands, N/A.

NGWENYA, Joseph (F, 30) - Even if he had managed to contribute this season(0 goals, 0 assists), the pathetic lack of effort with the goal at his mercy and United’s playoff lives in the balance means there can be only one choice here. EXPOSE

So that gets us two-thirds of the way through the roster. With just nine players left to evaluate, our categories thus far are:

  • PROTECT: De Rosario, Jakovic, Kitchen
  • EXPOSE: Barklage, Burch, Cronin, Davies, Korb, McTavish, Morsink, Ngwenya
  • BUBBLE: Boskovic, Brettschneider, Da Luz, King, McDonald
  • N/A: Hamid, Najar

Ouch. Only three definite PROTECTs and five BUBBLEs out of eighteen examined thus far. Bit harsh on my part? Perhaps. I suppose the fact that those two N/As would be protected if they had to be swings the balance a little bit. Still, unless that final third is packed with talent (and it isn’t), there really isn’t going to be much wringing of hands about who makes the list and who doesn’t, is there?

The List is Life, Part I

Let’s begin the expansion draft dance, shall we?

Some rules of the road:

  • The rules allow teams to protect eleven players.
  • United must protect one of their international players (Jakovic or Boskovic).
  • I’m going to make the assumption that Kitchen will be graduated from GenAd and thus will need to be protected.
  • I’m going to make the futher assumption (risky, I know) that our current crop of off-budget home grown players (Hamid, Najar, Shanosky, White) are not in danger of having their status changed and thus don’t need to be protected. I’ll still include them in the initial player evaluation stage…

Speaking of which, let’s have at it. I’ll go through the roster player-by-player and assign a status of either PROTECT (on the list), BUBBLE (under consideration for the list), or EXPOSE (definitely not list-material). Off-budget home grown players will have a status of N/A since they don’t need to be protected. On with the show as we tackle the first third of the roster…

BARKLAGE, Brandon (M/D, 24) - Scraped onto the roster this year, but only managed extremely limited minutes in another injury-plagued campaign. EXPOSE

BOSKOVIC, Branko (M, 31) - Injury wrecked the DP’s first full season with United. Don’t know if he has a no-trade clause (thus necessitating protecting him), but I’ll assume not. Certainly talented and fills a creative void in midfield, but injury and questions about his return for 2012 put him on the BUBBLE.

BRETTSCHNEIDER, Blake (F, 22) - Had a decent enough rookie season though he couldn’t replicate his free-scoring pre-season form when push came to shove. Worth considering for protection, but probably on the outer edge of the BUBBLE.

BURCH, Marc (D, 27) - Burch is 27? Huh, how about that? The FO’s mysterious obsession with Burch will probably see them protect him, but he’s an oft-injured, marginal left back who struggled to displace a USL-quality defender in Woolard. To the surprise of no faithful readers of this blog, I set my phaser to EXPOSE.

CRONIN, Steve (GK, 28) - Promised much during his loan deal at the end of 2010, but stumbled badly when called upon in 2011, eventually losing the backup spot to a rookie. EXPOSE

DA LUZ, Austin (M, 24) - Midseason acquisition saw spot duty throughout the stretch run and while he didn’t shine, he certainly didn’t look hopeless either. Good depth player but not a lock to protect. BUBBLE

DAVIES, Charlie (F, 25) - First really big call, eh? Decent rate of return in goals, but never really looked like the player he used to be. Ill-timed lawsuit filed during the most important part of the season demonstrated commitment to self over team, lack of responsibility for his own actions, and tacit acknowledgment that he’s never going to be what he was (which was never really top-drawer international anyway, but certainly enough to be great in MLS). Bitching about playing time when you don’t deserve to be on the pitch doesn’t help his cause. If Sochaux were willing to bargain-bin him, and he’d accept a salary that matches what he’s worth, I’d consider protecting him. You think either are likely to happen? Me neither. EXPOSE

DE ROSARIO, Dwayne (M/F, 33) - Yes, he’s 33, but he’s still class. Yes, he’ll probably need to be on DP money that we’ll have to foot the full bill for in 2012. But contrast his behavior during the stretch run (calling out underperformers, putting off talking contract extension as a distraction until the season ended, still contributing goals and assists despite lingering injuries and excessive mileage on legs in 2011) with Davies. PROTECT. Duh.

HAMID, Bill (GK, 20) - Still not the full package, but a rightful starter at 20 and only going to get better. Doesn’t have to be protected due to his home grown status, but I would in a heartbeat if he did have to be. N/A.

So that wraps up the first third of the roster. To summarize…

  • PROTECT: De Rosario
  • EXPOSE: Barklage, Burch, Cronin, Davies
  • BUBBLE: Boskovic, Brettschneider, Da Luz
  • N/A: Hamid

Hmmm. Something tells me we may be struggling to fill that protected list. I’m sure you’re as shocked as I am…

A Bridge Too Far | a DC United Match Reaction

Can’t fault the second half effort1. Can’t fault the entertainment value. Can’t argue we didn't deserve to crash out either. Heroic last-ditch efforts aside, it was over the last four games that the ghost was well and truly given up, not this one match that sealed the deal.

Talking points?

  • Good God, but De Rosario is a machine. Considering he was clearly gassed and sputtering on a flat tire, he still managed to find the equalizer and set up most of what was good near the end. Despite an overall spotty performance from the #7 given what he had to overcome, if Ngwenya manages to have a little more desire and bundle that late sitter home, I think De Rosario immediately becomes the MVP front-runner with a Kirk Gibson, walk-off-homer performance, single-handedly willing United toward the playoffs.

  • Kitchen at d-mid should be a lock for next season. Covered a ton of ground, won balls, kept the ball well in tight quarters, played forward more than back, and even managed to dictate a bit of tempo. Smart money leaves Simms, who’s past his sell-by date, on the expansion draft table.

  • Off-season priority #1? A finisher. De Rosario can make magic. Pontius can get a handful of goals from wide. So can Najar. But when the chips were down and the chances were coming fast a furious, there was nary a cold-blooded assassin to be found. Davies? Please. I’m going to have more to say about this in a few days, but suffice it to say, I’m not sending any money to France any time soon. Wolff? Past it, not his game any more. Ngwenya? Failed pathetically at the time of asking. Brettschneider? Does a job, but that job isn’t poaching. Actually, just getting some forwards with reasonable first touches and the ability to hit a well-weighted pass would go some way to improving this team. How often (mostly in the first half, truth be told) were balls pinged to the front line either lost after a heavy touch or given away when the subsequent pass proved woeful?

  • Off-season priority #2? Speed and quality at fullback. Sure the likes of Korb and Woolard give you lots of effort and plug holes in the lineup, but they’re not starting-quality top-flight material on either side of the ball. Depth, yes. Starters, no.

  • Wait. Revise that. Off-season priorities #1-5. Learn to defend a freaking cross

  • Bitch and moan all you like about those late non-PK calls (I certainly shouted at the screen as well), but the karmic balance was redressed. Considering the number of PK’s we’ve scammed this year, it was only fitting not to get one when we needed it most.

  • Questions for Ben. Why no adjustment in the first half to beef up the midfield presence to counteract the five that Portland packed in there? And why did the attack keep aiming right up the gut (packed with three central mids) rather than wide? Can’t fault the rolicking you must have given them at the half, but why so flat at the opening whistle? Why wait so long to make the final sub2? Why was Wolff on so long?

  • I generally like McDonald, but some of his decision-making (shot selection, pass selection, rough tackles) is terrible.

So that’s it then. We almost made it to the final game of the season with hope alive, but that awful run of results, unsurprisingly corresponding with the loss of Pontius, was the season-killer. There are seeds of hope for 2012 here, particularly with the young core put in place this season, but significant improvements need to be made around that core. Not so much in the depth, which is reasonable, but in a few areas that have proved glaring weaknesses all season. We’ll address those in the coming months3.


  1. Now the first half effort, on the other hand…bloodless seems a weak description. ↩

  2. Benefit of the doubt extends here. Olsen probably figured Ngwenya would fill his pants given the opportunity and so delayed bringing him on as long as possible. And so it proved. ↩

  3. Post-FM 2012 of course. Pre-order on Steam now and it’ll download and be ready for your unlocking pleasure at 5pm tomorrow (Thursday). Oh dear, oh dear. Job #1? Having a go with United 2011, I should think. Possible post series ahoy! ↩

Less Than Zero | a DC United Match Reaction

As the game wound to a close, I was toying with an opening line for a reaction post, something along the lines of: "These two teams could play for 90 days instead of 90 minutes and never find the damn net."

So imagine my surprise when a late whistle finally answered a United attacker flinging himself to the ground in the box. Given that De Rosario had been having a pretty tepid game, I fully expected his PK to be saved. When it wasn't, I glanced at the game clock up in the corner and had only one thought, one that's been burned into my brain over the course of this frustrating season so much that I've adopted it as something of a slogan for the 2011 season.

Back to the mean.

If you've been following United at all this season, you'll have been in the same boat as me, fully expecting that Chicago would find a way to equalize, to negate any nascent feelings of hope or elation, to deliver the metaphorical kick in the teeth and confirm the futility of our post-season pursuit. When it duly arrived, rather than heartbreak, my reaction was a cynical shake of the head, a wry smile and a shrug. Of course that was going to happen. It seemed only natural.

Back to the mean, you remember?

So what then to feel when Chicago found a second? Surely this was beyond the pale, more than a pegging back to the mean? Surely this was a dip below that even keel we've been relentlessly dragged back to? A fourth loss in a row, playoff hopes all but erased?

Less than zero.

I'm still not sure. There's a slight sense of disbelief, yes, but also a sense that expectations have been fulfilled. This isn't a playoff team. At least not without Pontius it isn't. A few weeks ago I said we could wave the post-season goodbye and had a little bit of pushback from those who somehow, miraculously, had not had the hope beaten from them yet.

I expect it probably is now.

Ugh.

Quick Thoughts on USA v. Ecuador

Good first half. Familiar lack of finishing. Weak second and predictably punished. The defense did look better organized (at least until Bocanegra left) though uncomfortable against the quick counter, something that should have Mexico salivating. Anyway, just a few thoughts...

* Chandler looked really impressive at the problem left back spot. His positioning, sometimes suspect against Honduras, was much better here, and he handled a very high quality right winger (Valencia) while still providing attacking thrust down his flank. The problem? We may need him on his more natural right side. Cherundolo looked slow defensively and indecisive on the ball in the first half while Spector was predictably poor in the second.

* Onyewu had a confident outing, and the center of defense looked strong in general. At least it did until Ream came on. Not quite ready for prime time, is he? True, Ecuador didn't fashion too many clear chances even after his introduction, but he was at fault for the one they did, the one that ended up making the difference. You've got to assume that Gooch-Boca is back as the first choice pairing, and I'd be more than a little surprised if we don't see Gonzalez getting a serious look as an alternative to Goodson/Ream/Orozco.

* Beasley looked a bit of a technical dinosaur, his touches almost clumsy by comparison with the rest of the players on the field, a big problem for probably the physically weakest player on the pitch. He did take up good spots to get on second balls from set pieces, but didn't contribute much else.

* Still not overjoyed with Beckerman starting. He does a job, but too often he's wasteful on the ball. In this match, that wastefulness resulted in a number of solid counter chances for Ecuador.

* Altidore had some decent link-up play, but that largely disappeared from the forward line after he was subbed off. Likewise the flank play, which suffered from a lack of willing runners in the second half.

That's about it for the quick impressions. Off to watch Mexico-Brazil...

Suspicious Minds | a USA Match Reaction

A win, 1-0 over a second-tier CONCACAF side, and probably just about a deserved one, though by no means hugely impressive. The US showed well in patches against Honduras, and a couple of individuals can be proud of their performances, but collectively, the one word that consistently appears in my notes, often double- or triple-underlined, is sloppy.

Too loose in possession, lots of dangerous challenges in flat-out stupid areas, and generally about a half-step slower than their opposition for large periods of play. Maybe some of that is down to a lack of confidence after the slow start to the Klinsmann era, maybe some can be laid at the feet of integrating new faces1, maybe you can even blame the weather. But at some point, you’ve got to start questioning the man in charge.

Let’s go line by line for a change, shall we?

  • Defense: Howard was immense as usual, keeping the US from going down early, then preserving the slender lead. The fullbacks had reasonable outings going forward, but were a bit suspect defensively and in the air, particularly on crosses to the back post. Little surprise that things looked a lot more solid with Onyewu replacing Orozco, who again wasn’t impressive. Can we declare that little experiment failed please?

  • Midfield: Edu looked well off the pace to start2, not reacting well with or without the ball, but grew into the game until yet another stupid, lunging challenge saddled him with yellow. Beckerman has his uses, and I can see an argument for his being included in the 23, maybe even in the 18, but I just don’t see him as starter quality at this level. Williams looks an interesting player3, good on the ball, reasonably composed. Shea continues to impress (despite some poor choices on the ball and a botched finish).

  • Forwards: Dempsey is the indespensible man now; the only one who you can rely upon to reliably find the back of the neck. His moment of quality was the difference and the one called back was typical CONCACAF whistleman bufoonery. Altidore and Agudelo are both handfuls for defenders in their own particular ways, but both are still works in progress and really need to be testing keepers with more regularity.

The big takeway? The result was important. There were some sequences that were promising. But the sloppiness on the ball and in commiting fouls in bad spots are both worrying. Honduras was wasteful4 and could so easily have made things more difficult. I’m going to chalk this tentatively in the positive column, bank those missed chances as ones that go in for a more confident crew, and see what Tuesday brings while maintaining my suspicions about Klinsmann.


  1. Though I think you’d find many wondering at the lack of breadth in the “new faces” audition line. ↩

  2. Blame the SPL?  ↩

  3. Particularly playing out of position on the right. Given how tidy he was, I wouldn’t mind seeing him in the middle, even as packed as it now seems. ↩

  4. Yes, yes, better finishing from the US and better whistlemen negate this, but still… ↩