Know When To Fold 'Em

Bob Bradley’s out, and tomorrow, in all likelihood, we learn the replacement1.

I’m not a Bradley hater or apologist. I think he’s a fine coach, even if he’s tactically limited/cautious, too attached to “trusted” players”2, and lacks the appropriate personality for the grandest stage3. He’ll probably pop up somewhere in MLS next year and have a fine career to follow, maybe even fine enough that he gets a second chance at the adult table someday.

The refrain I’ve always fallen back on in the face of the Bob Out! brigade is “who else have you got?” True, Bradley always seemed a stopgap, a safe choice though hardly an ideal one. But that made it all the more frustrating when you started to look at options for his replacement.

I guess the bottom line for me is that Bradley would have qualified the US for Brazil 2014 in unspectacular style and then presided over the inevitable meek bow-out. By rolling the dice you take the risk of complete implosion in the qualifiers for a chance at doing something special at the big dance.

Worth the risk? Probably. Depends on the cards you’re holding. Your pardon if I’m not convinced that Gulati, et al have a winning hand.


  1. All the smart birdies are atwitter over Klinsmann. That smells like disaster to me. Just a hunch. ↩

  2. Even if I’m not entirely confident a replacement will work wonders, if it means we never see the likes of Bornstein and Kljestan again, I’ll be a happy fan. ↩

  3. I’ll grant you the poor starting lineup choices as well, but please don’t rely too heavily on the nepotism card. Michael Bradley is one of the best we’ve got in central midfield, though I’ll grant you that his form after riding pine for Villa should have put him on the US bench for a spell.  ↩

Back to the Mean, Part Infinity | a DC United Match Reaction


(Your pardon is requested, señores y señoras; I've been sampling the vino tinto while half-watching the Vinotinto in Copa America as I compose this. Subsequent grammatical and logical failings will inevitably occur. You have been warned...)

...

And that, my fine feathered friends, is why we can't have nice things. Why every savory morsel of hope turns to ashes in our singing throats. Why we'll be drawing up our list for the Expansion Draft come November rather than watching United in the MLS Cup playoffs.

Sure you can point to the fact that the Revs have had our number of late (and are always difficult to play against at the best of times). But this is a Revs side low on confidence and wallowing at the bottom of the league. To be frank: they pretty much suck.

Which says what about a United that manages to lose to them at home?

Talking points, shall we?

* Yes, United had more possession, better chances, and even a spurned PK. But you can't ignore that the Revs were consistently getting chances, and not bad ones at that. The fact that they also consistently flubbed those chances spoke to both the latent danger and their lack of confidence. Robbed of Feilhaber, they resorted to lobbing balls in to Lekic, a tactic which shouldn't have troubled United as much as the quick counter and penetration of the midfield usually do. But it did. Still, it was when they got the big bodies forward for corners that the damage was finally done. The set piece defending has been better of late, so that one will sting, particularly not having a guy placed on the back stick for what should have been an easy clearance.

* I was forced to watch the Revs' coverage of this one, and Jay Heaps predicted Davies' PK miss from the booth. I had my suspicions as well about what was coming based on his body language and effort in the game to that point. Sure he managed to beat Cochrane and test Reis early on, but the defining moments for me were three killed attacking movements through indecisiveness and then De Rosario streaking down the right with his head up, pinging a ball across only for Reis and Alston clatter each other in their eagerness to get to the ball while Davies...Davies loped along without making much effort at all. I get that he has 8 goals (though half were penalties and that total should really be higher). I get that he's potentially deadly. I'd still stick him on the bench if we had any healthy (and quality) options. The effort and sharpness and predatory instinct have still yet to flower. How long do we have to wait?

Some tactical questions...

* Given that Clyde Simms doesn't cover the ground he used to and isn't an aggressive destroyer type anyway (witness Joseph dismissively holding off Clyde's efforts at challenges and the time and space available when we cough up the ball in midfield), and given that our wide mids are both dribbling attackers rather than two-way shuttlers, does a midfield diamond really fit our personnel best?

* Also, given the inability of our strikers to create chances for themselves consistently (and get said chances on target), I wonder if we shouldn't be playing with De Rosario (a player who can create for himself) closer to goal. While playing him as a second forward might rob him of the chance to make those damaging runs from deep, I'd like to see him given a free role off a high forward. Of course, then we're faced with not having a proper lone-forward type. Hmmm.

* Why was I consistently seeing United having five in our own half as the ball moved into the Revs end down the stretch? We were down a goal. Chasing the game. At home. Hard to find opportunities going 5 v. 9. We were keeping four back against one forward. Sigh.

Quick hits?

* Ngwenya's touch is usually abominable, but he looked tidy tonight. Still didn't make great decisions with the ball, but he actually looked a proper player, if an overpaid one.

* Not sure I would have pulled Wolff before Davies as I thought the former was contributing more to the attack, but Wolff was still good for 2-3 threat-killing passes behind wide runners while he was on the field. Frustrating trend for a player morphing into a deep-lying forward looking to play guys in.

* I've been guilty of bitching about White's positioning. I think I'll take this opportunity to move on to his distribution, which was poor to say the least. He's still young, and he's got some decent tools, but I wouldn't hesitate to get Jakovic back in the mix when he's fully healthy. Jakovic has his own issues, but I'd like to see how he pairs with McDonald.

Is it too much to ask for a string of results? Is it too much to ask for solid home form?

Perhaps. United is still theoretically a work in progress, a rebuilding mission if you will. That said, it's hard to reconcile that theory with the De Rosario acquisition, which  reeks of an urgency to win now. But do you really expect anything beyond lower-mid table obscurity and a failure to make the playoffs with diabolical home form and a decided lack of consistency the defining aspects of this team?

I wish I could say I was surprised at this result...

Ugh.

Just the Dax, Ma'am | a DC United Match Reaction

Someday, when he finds himself in the right tactical situation with the right pieces arrayed around him, when he regains his confidence and stops pushing so hard to prove himself, I have few doubts that Dax McCarty will show himself to be a quality player.

But for those of us who have suffered through his tepid, possession-wasting performances for United this year, it was a comfort to see him lining up to take set pieces or leading the break in transition for the Red Bulls. Comforting because you knew how the scene would end.

Yet while McCarty’s failings proved familiar, the larger pattern of the game bucked the trend of recent United outings.


Pattern Inversion

United games in 2011 generally work like this: (1) United with possession and pressure is on top for the first 15 minutes, (2) the opposition comes into the game, often on the back of a goal against the run of play, (3) United makes one or two more bursts of sustained good play, often resulting in goals that pull them back level or put them ahead, (4) a late collapse and inability to resist sustained pressure results in dropped points.

More generally the pattern can be read as: United goes up, gets pegged back, goes up again, gets dragged back down. And that was what made this game so interesting. The normal order of events was flipped on its head. The Red Bulls looked rampant in the first 15 minutes of either half, creating a number of chances and half-chances, controlling the ball and barely giving United a sniff. But in both cases, Olsen’s men recovered to claw their way back into the game, even grabbing that most unusual of souvenirs: a goal against the run of play (class finish from De Rosario, long may he flourish).

But the most satisfying rejection of business as usual was the manner in which United secured the win. Too often we’ve seen the opposition seemingly flick a switch to create late pressure that results in chance after chance until one is finally bundled past a panicking back line falling all over itself. And yes, the Red Bulls did step up their pressure and did have some chances, but I, normally the most pessimistic of observers, felt strangely calm.

Did this have something to do with Dax taking many of their free kicks and corners1? Somewhat. But, and I say this having great concern for Benny’s diamond when it comes to defense2, this was one of those matches where the sort of creeping inevitability of the result seemed obvious, even to the players. There was danger, yes, but it was held at arm’s length, cooly regarded, and dismissed.

Strange feeling for a United fan (and player, I’m sure) in 2011.


Marked Incomplete

Until the goal, this post was going to center around a feeling that United were not quite complete, that too many players weren’t quite what they needed to be to make the preferred tactical system hum. Though it wasn’t the story of the game (in fact there were notable exceptions that crept in to the contrary), I still think some of the points I considered for that argument remain valid.

I raised the point above (and expanded upon it in the footnotes) that Simms doesn’t quite hack it as a lone d-mid in the diamond, particularly with three attacking midfielders as his running-mates. To my mind, Simms has always functioned best as part of a two holding-mid set. He had a decent game here, but there was still far too much space waiting to be exploited. And that creates a dilemma despite the positive result last night.

Does Benny (1) persist playing Simms solo behind three attacking mids, (2) look for an enforcer-type in the transfer window, or (3) pull the largely superfluous Wolff in favor of a second holding mid? Wolff has his moments, and perhaps this is a terrible time to make this point given the role he played in setting up the winner, but he did precious little the rest of the game. I suppose you could claim that he popped up at the appropriate time and contributed to the game-winner. But I’d counter by arguing that a second defensive or holding midfielder would strengthen both possession and defensive solidity while freeing the trio of De Rosario, Najar, and Pontius to follow their more natural attacking tendencies.

Other mentions (by no means the complete list [he says, relishing the irony], though a decent representative sample) in my notes of seemingly incomplete players, often refuted by the match itself:

  • White’s recovery speed covers his lack of positioning/anticipation. While it’s true that you can’t teach speed and you can teach positioning, and therefore you might hold out hope that experience will make a better defender of him, it’s also true that some defenders seem to have an intuitive grasp of positioning and movement3 while others will never be more than athletes (hi, Marvell Wynne). Let’s hope White doesn’t fall into the Wynne camp.

  • Simms for all the reasons highlighted above.

  • Woolard has never seemed like more than a stop-gap solution at left back. He has USL writ large all over him. Watching the rookie Kitchen play both solid defense and get forward into the attack, it was often frustrating to see a lack of the same down the left flank. And yet Dane Richards was largely quiet on the Red Bulls’ right. Stop-gap indeed, but an effective one, at least on the defensive side of the ball.

  • Pontius is a terror running at defenders, manufacturing chances, and shooting from distance, but his composure and finishing from close range are often inconsistent. Witness the poor touch on the run behind Miller that took away a great chance and the open headed chance put wide from the corner. I suppose that’s why he’s playing more as a midfielder than as a forward and has been doing so quite effectively, but he still fits the theme under discussion.

  • Davies hustles and he gets chances, but he still feels a step slow and too wasteful, both in possession and with his chances.

  • Wolff has moments where you love him, but all to often I’m disgusted by a lack of passing precision or lack of attacking intent, both of which often serve to kill any danger that might exist in transition. At this stage of his career, he’s caught in transition himself. No longer blessed with a poacher’s quickness, he is assuming a more deeper, creative role. But all too often his technique, be it first touch or passing, isn’t good enough to execute the role, even if he has enough vision and experience to see the opportunity on the table.


Wrapping Up

Of course, all of those “incomplete” accusations could be leveled across the board at the great majority of MLS players and indeed players in general the world over. Complete players are the exception rather than the norm and there’s a school of thought that runs that complete, polished players have all the useful edges rubbed off. And it would be insane to think that you could assemble a roster of quality finished products on an MLS budget.

But that makes taking a tactical approach that exploits strengths while minimizing weaknesses a necessity. United’s strength is in the quality of its attacking midfield, while its weakness is centered on the inexperience of its back line. The logical solution would be to reduce exploitable midfield gaps, allowing the defense to focus on what’s in front of them rather than what might be slipping through, behind, etc., while simultaneously freeing the attacking elements of the midfield to do what they do best.

I can’t wrap my head around the 4-4-2 with a diamond midfield being the best approach, but then who am I to argue with the impressive result of blanking the conference leaders and the team topping the MLS scoring charts in their house and coming home with all three points4?

Vamos United!



  1. Granted Lindpere would have been at the poorer angle taking those with his left, but surely McCarty’s ineptitude with the dead ball has been adequately demonstrated this year? ↩

  2. The diamond midfield feels too open. Simms has range, but not the bite or determination to plug the gaps left by three essentially attack-minded midfield compatriots. Maybe if Najar and Pontius pinched in more defensively those gaps would be addressed, but the Red Bulls attackers had far too much time and space to drop into the region in front of the back line between Simms and his wide men. Likewise, the back line, particularly Ethan White, were exposed by balls delivered through those same gaps.  ↩

  3. For MLS examples, see Tim Ream and Michael Parkhurst. In this match alone, Ream was outstanding in killing half a dozen chances through anticipation, positioning, and well-timed challenges. Does a Parkhurst-ian shuffle in to mid-tier Euro-obscurity lie in wait or will he mature into the finished product for the national team?  ↩

  4. It’s also tempting to look at the standings and realize that United is only six points behind the conference-leading Red Bulls with three games in hand and get carried away. But there’s a reason “Back to the Mean” is a recurring theme for this edition of United. Consistency is not our forte and even cautious optimism seems naive at this point. ↩


Strictly Speaking

Quotes?

Ben...
Again, it was a long week for Dwayne; so right after the second goal I was going to pull him out for Joe [Ngwenya]. But we needed a goal, and you don’t take De Rosario off if you need a goal.
Nor do you bring on Ngwenya. Can't believe we're hanging on to him.

De Rosario...
You know, it’s a story of two tales.
Huh? Sort of a parallel plot structure then? Funny language, Canuck-glish...

And Pontius...
I was awful tonight. Apologize to my teammates, fans, and the organization
Played a big part in both goals surrendered, but was only a symptom of the overall general defensive frailty. Hopefully recognition translates into better defensive focus. Now go score more goals.

The Same Old Song | a DC United Match Reaction

Midweek swaps saw two new faces appear in Ben Olsen’s starting eleven. Unfortunately, the DJ was playing the same sorry tune when it came to the match itself. Good moments going forward, patchy periods of possession, and, of course, the inevitable defensive comedy routines. You’d think we’d have worn out that record by now.

How about some tactical talking points?

  • Tactical talking point #1. The assorted ranks of internet punditry got their wish with De Rosario atop a diamond four in midfield. Not sold. Nor do I think the selling comes with time. The selling would come with a real defensive midfielder. Simms has his uses, but being a solitary d-mid isn’t one of them. He doesn’t have the nous to clog passing lanes nor the snarl and drive to deal with runners. Worse, his passing when he did end up with the ball was weak. That’s not always the case, but I think it doesn’t help him to be all alone when his first look is for the short, easy outlet. I thought a secondary effect of the diamond would be less danger from our primary attacking options, Najar and Pontius, but this wasn’t the case1.

  • Tactical talking point #2. The pinching necessary in the diamond makes getting width out of the fullbacks a necessity rather than luxury. You could make the argument that (a) this will take time to develop and (b) we did see some contribution from Woolard and Kitchen. You could, but I won’t. As with Simms, I don’t think we have the proper horses for this race. There were a couple of occasions where De Rosario hit a ball into a wide space expecting a fullback steaming forward only to find that the defender was still hanging back.

  • Tactical talking point #3. Here’s a conundrum. You want De Rosario close to goal where he can create trouble2, but you need a guy deeper to get the ball to him. The problem? De Rosario is that guy. We need two of him. On a related point, if you want him higher and reach the conclusion that Simms can’t hack it alone in deep midfield, where do you stick De Rosario? Ideally, he’d be a trequartista with freedom to roam off a solitary striker and Najar and Pontius manning the wings. But looking at our options, we’ve got a poacher (Davies), a supporting forward (Wolff), a high-energy scrapper (Brettschneider), and the Touch of Death (Ngwenya). Maybe Brettscheider can play lone forward3, but the others don’t look like great options there; all are better with partners. The other option? One of Najar or Pontius sit. Hmmm. No thanks.

And what about?

  • I can’t figure Wolff out. One minute I’m writing, “we’re not a playoff team if Josh Wolff is starting for us.” The next I’m praising an effort. Usually the one thing you get out of a player of his age and experience is consistency. But Wolff’s touch and passing are unpredictable, by turns fantastic and frustrating. The constant is the effort, but is that enough? I’m honestly not sure. The very second I’m ready to throw him under the metaphorical bus for destroying an attack, he flies into a tackle and wins the ball back or hits a delightful through ball. I guess that makes him the ideal captain for this edition of United, no?

  • The first five to ten minutes were outstanding from United. Quick passing followed by immediate movement, always presenting for a return ball. But the final 10-15 minutes were the complete opposite. Zero movement off the ball and no pressure on opponents with the ball. Most damning? Count the number of second balls won. Count the number of times a United defender looked for someone else to make a play on the ball or runner. Static and passive on both ends.

Quick hits?

  • Route One doesn’t work if you can’t win aerial duels.

  • Najar for Goal of the Week? Haven’t seen the other games yet, but that was at least 25 yards out. Hell of a hit from the kid4.

  • White has wheels to get back, but he’s often doing so because of suspect positioning. Experience and more communication from a veteran head in McDonald should help.

  • I’m pretty sure everybody knows our long-throw routine to the end-line runner by now.

  • Too many moments of comedy team and individual defending…still. Maybe the coaches should spend some of the time they’re not spending on new throw-in routines to do Defensive Decision Making 101.

  • Hard to develop game-killing possession with (1) no movement, (2) tentative and slow passing, (3) no hustle for loose and second balls, and (4) no pressure on the ball. Time to quit hoping we can hold out and start insisting upon it.

I think this thing goes differently if we don’t get that absolute tragi-comedy sequence that led to the Union opener. Ball controlled off the chest (Pontius?) into the path of a Philly midfielder. Three United defenders stare at him as he takes the ball to the edge of the area. Dangerous chip, but Kitchen is well-positioned to cut it out. Sadly, the height is awkward, and rather than trying to stoop to head it out, he makes a comical attempt at a flying volley, deflecting the ball into the side of Hamid’s net. Ugh. Ugh. Ugh. And just after the break. Just after scoring minutes before the break.

If Olsen's hair isn't gray by September, it’ll be a miracle. So much good gone so quickly to waste. That “Back to the Mean” campaign is really starting to pick up steam, isn’t it?

Sigh.


  1. Of course, you could also argue that Najar and Pontius being so involved in the attack meant they weren’t back helping to clog the middle defensively. ↩

  2. Witness the goal. He might as well have celebrated it like he scored it since Wolff was little more than a wall. A well-positioned wall, but a wall nonetheless. ↩

  3. Though not very well unless you get support from midfield around him really quickly. ↩

  4. And a tactical advantage if both our wide mids carrying threat from distance forces defenses to step higher than they want to. That’s where runs from the likes of Davies and De Rosario become so much more dangerous. ↩

Watch Out, Brandon!

Najar wears No. 14 for United. McDonald inherits No. 2. (via Goff)
Oh no! Didn't poor Brandon McDonald get the memo about the curse?