What I Want For Christmas | Part III

To wrap things up with the “What I Want For Christmas” series, we’ll begin with a bit of a tactical aside before prioritizing the shopping list…

(In case you missed the beginning of this discussion: Part I and Part II are available.)



Our likely man in the middle?

In all of this discussion, we’ve curiously ignored tactics for the most part. Why is that? Well, for one, I’m going to assume that while Olsen is going to be somewhat more flexible in his second term at the helm, the basic manner in which he set his team out is going to be largely similar. And secondly, I don’t think the roster and wage restrictions of MLS allow you much scope for variety.

Thus, I’m basing my target-list on the assumption that United will line up with a back four and either (1) a diamond midfield with two up top or (2) a midfield bucket with a lone striker and a trequartista floating between attack and midfield. Ultimately, I can imagine something more progressive, like so…

football formations

… but that’s not so much of a change from the bucket + trequartista1 or diamond-midfield2 models. Indeed, most of the current roster could probably move between the two fairly seamlessly. But it does leave an awful lot of weight on the shoulders of young Kitchen.

Yes, you could pull Pontius and Najar deeper, but I think that both blunts their danger and shifts an inordinate load onto the back of a striker we don’t even possess yet. The key is going to be Boskovic, and there are so many questions there.

Can he withstand the rigors of playing in the middle in MLS week in and week out? Does he have enough range and energy (not to mention desire) to help lighten Kitchen’s defensive burden? Can he not only thread the delicate through ball and make nice touches in limited space but ping the cross-field bomb to flank attackers as well?

The elephant in the room here is that instead of two top priorities (forward and left back), we might actually need a midfield dynamo as well if Boskovic doesn’t pan out. But United seem to be entertaining giving him a go, so I suppose we’ll have to as well, and trust that either (1) he works out and/or (2) there’s enough time to switch to Plan B come the summer.

With that established, let’s sort the list. We’ve got two broad bands of priority here. The obvious holes in the starting line-up are left back and forward. Yes, Woolard was our starting left back last year and Wolff started more often than not, but I’d argue that starting the season with them reprising those roles seems to signal a lack of ambition inconsistent with the club’s current off-season behavior and, more damningly, another season probably spent watching the playoffs from home.

Of the two, the demands of the position and the relative scarcity/cost of a quality forward would make that my first concern. But what type of forward? Given that the supporting cast of Pontius, De Rosario, and Najar have goals in them, I’d argue that we need less a poacher in the Emilio/Fowler mold and more a dynamic presence up top that creates space for those coming from deeper positions. This would be a forward that can worry defenses and stretch them with movement, strength, and pace as well as hit the target when called upon.

Bit of an ask to find all of that in one package on an MLS budget (unless we’re looking DP), which is why that has to be the first priority, with a left back sporting a big motor, decent crossing ability, and good recovery speed3 rounding out the top tier of targets.

But what about the secondary needs, the depth? Given that we have a decent array of bench-quality forwards and some attack-minded mids who can play up top in a pinch, my initial look would be elsewhere. With White proving a decent third option in the center of defense and only a third-string keeper required to fill out the netminder quota, I’d push d-mid and right wing cover to the top. Hell, if you could find a quick winger who can also play up top, you’ve gone and killed two notional birds.

That said, I’d rate cover for Kitchen at d-mid slightly higher. Yes, we’re hearing that Morsink is looking to re-up and King can probably do a job there, but I’m not sold on either.

After that, the order probably doesn’t matter as you’re looking less at coveted players being targeted by multiple clubs and more at who you can squeeze onto the roster with the cap space available. In other words, journeymen, draftees, and trialists.

So what does your shopping list look like? Mine is…

  1. Forward - starting quality, decent physical presence, passable finisher, mobile, likely from foreign climes
  2. Left Back - starting quality, decent crosser, high endurance, good recovery speed, outside shot at a domestic trade/draftee, but likely from abroad
  3. D-mid - cover for Kitchen, good range, aggressive, decent distributor
  4. Right Wing - cover for Najar and up top as well, quick, good engine
  5. Central Defender - depth, preferably veteran, but that may not be an option
  6. Keeper - third stringer

Seems obvious? Probably. Most of you playing the home game probably have similar-looking lists. What will be interesting is to see if Olsen and the FO do as well. Are they chasing roster-filler or genuine quality? Do they really think Woolard is a viable starter? How about Wolff? Does the acquisition of a dynamic central midfield presence signal the end for Boskovic? How does Olsen modify his tactical approach, if at all?

Given the ruthlessness of the cuts thus far, you’d have to imagine that the Bearded Bombardier has a definite plan and list of his very own. That said, experience says you’d have to stretch your imagination a bit to entertain the possibility that the current FO can tick all the boxes on his wish list.


  1. Just with the wings pushed higher and the central midfield withdrawn slightly. ↩

  2. With Pontius almost acting as a second forward cutting inside and the diamond skewed to the right. ↩

  3. I wonder if the thought of trying da Luz there in pre-season has crossed anybody’s mind? Wouldn’t be my first choice, but if you’re thinking attack-first… ↩

Oof!


14. D.C. UNITED
The most successful franchise in the early years of MLS has struggled mightily to find a better stadium situation than it currently has at RFK, and the ongoing frustrations in the nation's capital have caused United to consider perhaps moving to Baltimore. Out-of-town owner Will Chang may or may not be committed for the long haul, and the club is trying to start over from scratch on the field under coach Ben Olsen. In other words, there's still a lot of uncertainty in D.C.; one bright spot from an ambition perspective is that Kevin Payne remains one of the league's more entertainingly public executives.

Oof!

14 out of 19 when it comes to ambition in MLS (according to Wahl).

Not arguing the point. Just, well...oof.

What I Want For Christmas | Part II

In the first part of this series, we ran the rule over the current United roster. In this second part, we’ll compile a list of wants by position, setting us up for the grand finale, where we put those wants in order…



Would you trust this man with your roster?

GOALKEEPER

Needs: Hamid and Willis are solid in the first two spots on the depth chart, so there shouldn’t be much work to do here.

Targets: If there’s a solid keeper available in the draft, nab him if he’s the best player available with that pick. Otherwise, bring in a few undrafted or unattached young keepers for pre-season and see which one is left standing.

Priority: Low.


DEFENSE

Needs: A starting quality left back. Given the tendency of the likely left-wing starter (Pontius) to drift inside and get the ball on his right and Russell’s generally stay-at-home tendency at right back1, the ideal candidate would provide a quality, quick overlapping option down the left flank. Depth, preferably experienced, in the middle is a secondary concern, with the starry-eyed optimist also entertaining a potential challenger for Jakovic/McDonald for starting minutes2.

Targets: There are some fair, though not outstanding, options around the league at left back, but I don’t see what we have in trade value to get them outside of draft picks and allocation money3. I’ll make the charitable assumption that we’re looking for outside-the-league help while simultaneously fretting that the braintrust are content with Woolard as the starter. Central depth is likely available through negotiations with those on the current MLS scrap-heap (if we get there first – given our slow movement thus far, that’s in severe doubt) or via the youth route (draft/academy).

Priority: A starting left back would be near the top of my list; is it near the top of the FO’s? Central depth is a middling concern, alleviated somewhat by Russell’s versatility and the presence of the promising White.


MIDFIELD

Needs: I would assume the starting quartet to be set with Pontius, Boskovic/De Rosario, Kitchen, and Najar. If we go to a five, De Rosario is the fifth floating atop it. Depth is a concern at d-mid and on the right flank.

Targets: How long will United be able to keep hold of Najar and Kitchen? I would assume they will both remain in D.C. for this season, but both will also miss time with their national and/or U-23 national teams, and, though planning for the long-term isn’t really an option in MLS, we should be looking at options for their eventual replacement whether this be through the draft, the academy, or acquisition from abroad.

Priority: High, but not yet desperate. I’ll be interested to see what the FO comes up with as an alternative to some of the long-serving players that could have served in these capacities.


ATTACK

Needs: Assuming that De Rosario will be playing the trequartista role between forward and midfield, we’re still short a starting forward as Wolff is no lone striker candidate and, and, while Brettscheider can fill the role, he’s not proven as deadly in front of the net in the regular season as he did last pre-season.

Targets: If we’re not actively pursuing a starting-caliber forward, I’m pretty much ready to give this team up for dead in 2012 already. Given that the FO ignored Jacqua in the Re-Entry draft, I’d argue that Benny wants a quick poacher whose running pushes defenses back and opens space for De Rosario to weave his magic in4 rather than a bruising target-man. Wolff and Brettschneider are adequate depth, but maybe another, different style option (a speed merchant, perhaps?), would not go amiss.

Priority: I think the first sentence of the “Targets” section pretty much laid out how big a priority I think a starter is. Depth? Not so much, but also not off the table completely.



So that leaves us with the following list of wants, in no particular order:

  • third-string keeper
  • starting left back
  • central defensive depth
  • d-mid cover
  • right mid/wing cover
  • starting forward
  • forward depth

That’s a lot of boxes to check over the next month or so, particularly given the not-exactly-inspiring “50-50 chance that at least one [player acquisition] could be completed and announced before the end of 2011.”5 In part three, we’ll take that list and prioritize it.


  1. Yes, he can cross and get forward, but he’s a defense-first option at fullback. ↩

  2. Perhaps that’s White. I still think he needs seasoning, but maybe he’ll surprise. ↩

  3. Assuming, considering how precious little depth we have remaining, that you’re not going to create a hole elsewhere by trading away any current players. ↩

  4. Assuming, considering how precious little depth we have remaining, that you’re not going to create a hole elsewhere by trading away any current players. ↩

  5. Noting that the optimist reads this as “we’ve got targets who can’t move until the transfer window opens in the new year.” ↩

What I Want For Christmas | Part I

It’s that time of year again. Time to consult the D.C. United roster list, see who’s been naughty and nice (and who is, frankly, useless), and compile my own off-season shopping list. Ready to begin?



Russell: Finally a replacement for Namoff?

The process of re-shaping the roster has already begun. Scouting missions have been dispatched, Robbie Russell has been acquired to bolster the back line, and severe roster pruning has already seen United definitely part ways with at least three long-serving veterans. So let’s take a look, in this first part of “What I Want For Christmas,” at the current state of the roster, identifying weaknesses and potential dead wood.

Some caveats and assumptions before I get started:

  • For the purposes of assessing the current roster, I’m going to assume that the players who did not have their options picked up are potential trialists at best and certainly aren’t part of Olsen’s core plans going forward, even if their names are still on the roster page at United’s website. For that reason, I may mention them as potential depth, but likely will ignore them altogether.

  • Charlie Davies is gone. He’s not coming back.

  • Outside of the players we’ve currently lost to either retirement or the Re-Entry draft, we’re not going to lose anybody else. Trades or bids from abroad may very well happen, but I’m going to assume that nobody is being actively shopped and that those retained thus far are part of the plans for 2012.


GOALKEEPERS

We begin at the back. Hamid staked inarguable claim to the #1 spot this past season, and, though he has his flaws, his current quality is high and potential even higher. Might that see him attract outside interest? Absolutely, but assuming he’s still around, he’s the starter.

In limited duty last year, Willis did enough to surpass the veteran (and projected competition for the starting spot) Cronin, who hasn’t had his option picked up for 2012. Willis is still largely unproven, but should be a decent backup option, an option United will have to exercise with Hamid facing potential Olympic and/or qualifying duty.


DEFENSE

The post-season pruning has left the defensive ranks looking rather sparse. Add in the likely move of Kitchen, a defensive starter for most of 2011, to midfield, and those ranks are thinner still. The addition of Robbie Russell from RSL locks down the right back spot and provides potential central depth. Korb provides cover on both flanks while Woolard is the putative starter at left back with Burch gone to Seattle. McDonald and Jakovic are the likely starters in central defense, with Ethan White (and possibly Shanosky?) as depth.

Given my documented doubts about Woolard and uncertainty about the central pairing of McDonald and Jakovic, at the very least we’re short a couple of bodies for depth here. Perhaps a fully-healthy Jakovic makes the central partnership more reliable, but given his injury history (not to mention potential duty with Canada), that’s not exactly something you can count on is it? Russell will likely be a rock on the right, but I’d be shocked if we weren’t actively scouting left and center backs.


MIDFIELD

The potential starting four (or five) look strong. Najar and Pontius are among the league’s best flank players. Kitchen looked impressive in closing the season with cameos at d-mid. De Rosario is a solid central option (though I prefer him further forward) and Boskovic looked like he was beginning to click before his injury last year.

The problem, as should be obvious given that the options on a third of the roster weren’t picked up, is depth, particularly with Kitchen, Najar, and De Rosario all potentially being called up for national team duty. At the moment, said depth consists of the decent King in the middle, the reasonable da Luz on the left flank, and possibly the unproven Shanosky (who has not played a single professional minute, lest we forget) at d-mid. Word is that Morsink is looking at a restructured deal as well, though I’d entertain his presence as a trialist at best if we’re looking to increase the quality roster-wide (read as: not a fan).


ATTACK

Wolff and Brettschneider. That’s it. Maybe you could toss in the tweeners like Pontius and De Rosario, who range from “likely” to “almost certain” to start elsewhere. Either way, that’s thin to the point of vanishing. Considering that I don’t think consistently starting Wolff or Brettschneider is step 1 in anybody’s plan for world domination (though I’m fine with them off the bench), that leaves United needing severe help in the form of starting-quality forwards.

While I’d argue that United should probably start De Rosario either up top or in a free role working off a solitary striker, thus filling one of those starting spots, questions about Boskovic’s health, consistency, and effectiveness could force De Rosario’s use as a midfield creative dynamo. That leaves you with potentially two holes to fill up top.


UP NEXT

Having run the rule over the current roster and identified where it is lacking, Part II of WIWFC will compile those weaknesses and assign priorities for addressing them.

Changing of the Guard

The Sounders traded with the Vancouver Whitecaps to earn the No. 1 overall pick in the draft and used it to select defender Marc Burch, who spent the past five seasons with D.C. United. Terms of the trade with Vancouver were not released and are expected to be made public by the clubs later on Monday.
Wait...what? They traded up? To get Burch? Really? Huh. That said, I'm pretty sure Sigi was in charge at Columbus when they brought Burch in from LA on a trade. Of course, I'm also pretty sure he was in charge when they sent him packing to United less than a year later...

United also lost Simms, and some quiet, steady character along with him, but I'm on board with cutting ties there. Going to be weird seeing him in Revolution colors, and I can't imagine Heaps making a thug of him, so I wonder what the Elbower-in-Chief imagines he's getting in Simms. We shall see.

Roster's starting to look a bit thin. Methinks it's time to fire up the "What I Want For Christmas" post series again, eh? Your pardon while I go compile my notes...